Brescia vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25%
30.4%
Draw
0-0
13.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.4%
25.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1974 |
PAL
1 - 1
BRE
58%
27%
15%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1974 |
AVE
1 - 0
BRE
61%
23%
16%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1974 |
BRE
0 - 0
PRG
62%
24%
14%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1974 |
NOV
1 - 2
BRE
60%
25%
15%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 1974 |
BRE
2 - 1
REG
55%
28%
17%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1974 |
VAR
2 - 1
SPA
55%
28%
17%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1974 |
ASC
0 - 0
VAR
58%
25%
17%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1974 |
VAR
0 - 1
ATL
52%
30%
18%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1974 |
PRG
0 - 1
VAR
33%
33%
34%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1974 |
VAR
2 - 0
COM
54%
29%
17%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |