Brescia vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
27.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1968 |
BRE
2 - 1
ATL
45%
28%
27%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1968 |
INT
3 - 0
BRE
76%
16%
8%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1968 |
SAM
1 - 0
BRE
50%
28%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1968 |
BRE
0 - 1
MAN
57%
26%
18%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1968 |
SPA
3 - 1
BRE
52%
26%
22%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1968 |
ROM
1 - 0
VAR
53%
26%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1968 |
VAR
0 - 0
TOR
42%
30%
28%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1968 |
INT
1 - 0
VAR
74%
17%
9%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1968 |
VAR
2 - 0
ATL
50%
27%
23%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1968 |
VIC
1 - 0
VAR
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |