Brescia vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
39.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
FRO
2 - 0
BRE
62%
22%
17%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
BRE
2 - 0
SAL
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2017 |
CES
1 - 0
BRE
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
BRE
1 - 1
SPE
45%
28%
27%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 1
BRE
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2017 |
LAZ
4 - 1
CTT
79%
14%
7%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
CTT
2 - 2
AVE
67%
19%
14%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
USF
1 - 3
CTT
38%
26%
35%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2017 |
SPA
0 - 2
CTT
48%
24%
28%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +2 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
CTT
2 - 1
SAL
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |