Brescia vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
12%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
18.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
BRE
0 - 1
REG
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
BRE
1 - 0
RAV
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
LIV
3 - 0
BRE
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
BRE
2 - 2
LIV
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2009 |
BRE
3 - 0
EMP
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
CTT
2 - 1
ASC
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
CTT
2 - 0
PAD
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
CTT
2 - 0
RIM
38%
28%
34%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
FRO
1 - 0
CTT
54%
25%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
CTT
2 - 2
PAR
23%
27%
51%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |