Brescia vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
19.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
13%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
0
25.6%
12.7%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1974 |
ASC
2 - 0
BRE
65%
23%
13%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1974 |
BRE
1 - 1
COM
50%
29%
21%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1974 |
CAT
1 - 2
BRE
43%
33%
24%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1974 |
BRE
1 - 0
BRI
59%
24%
17%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1974 |
BRE
1 - 1
TER
50%
29%
20%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1974 |
BAR
1 - 0
REG
46%
31%
22%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1974 |
PAR
0 - 1
BAR
65%
24%
12%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 May. 1974 |
BAR
2 - 0
NOV
41%
31%
28%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1974 |
COM
0 - 0
BAR
69%
22%
9%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1974 |
BAR
0 - 0
SPA
40%
33%
28%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |