Brescia vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
26.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1963 |
ASL
0 - 0
BRE
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1963 |
PAD
0 - 0
BRE
67%
19%
14%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1963 |
BRE
1 - 0
TRI
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1963 |
UDI
0 - 0
BRE
61%
22%
16%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1963 |
BRE
1 - 2
COS
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1963 |
FCC
0 - 0
BAR
49%
27%
24%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1963 |
BAR
1 - 1
COS
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1963 |
LAZ
1 - 0
BAR
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 1963 |
MES
1 - 0
BAR
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1963 |
BAR
3 - 1
COM
65%
22%
13%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |