Brescia vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
18.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1935 |
FIO
1 - 0
BRE
60%
22%
19%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1935 |
BRE
3 - 1
LAZ
43%
24%
33%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1935 |
BOL
1 - 0
BRE
77%
14%
10%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1935 |
BRE
0 - 0
GEN
44%
24%
32%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1935 |
USA
5 - 0
BRE
63%
19%
18%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1935 |
BAR
0 - 0
NAP
24%
21%
55%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1935 |
JUV
0 - 0
BAR
90%
7%
3%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1935 |
BAR
0 - 1
ROM
23%
21%
57%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1935 |
SAM
2 - 1
BAR
70%
17%
13%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1935 |
BAR
0 - 2
ACM
43%
24%
33%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |