Brescia vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.8%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
28.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1989 |
REG
1 - 0
BRE
55%
27%
18%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1989 |
BRE
0 - 0
GEN
40%
32%
29%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1989 |
LIC
2 - 1
BRE
50%
28%
23%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1989 |
BRE
2 - 2
SSB
49%
29%
22%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1989 |
FCC
0 - 0
BRE
51%
30%
19%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1989 |
ANC
0 - 0
UDI
43%
29%
28%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1989 |
ANC
1 - 1
PAR
51%
28%
21%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1989 |
REG
1 - 1
ANC
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1989 |
ANC
3 - 1
AVE
37%
30%
33%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1989 |
PAD
3 - 1
ANC
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |