Brescia vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
11.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 1951 |
SER
3 - 1
BRE
44%
23%
33%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1951 |
BRE
4 - 0
BAR
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 1951 |
MOD
2 - 1
BRE
56%
23%
22%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1951 |
BRE
1 - 0
TRE
60%
20%
20%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 May. 1951 |
SIR
2 - 0
BRE
61%
19%
20%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 1951 |
ANC
2 - 4
SIR
43%
24%
33%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1951 |
ANC
0 - 1
VNZ
43%
25%
32%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1951 |
TRE
7 - 0
ANC
75%
14%
11%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1951 |
ANC
1 - 0
PIS
44%
24%
32%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 May. 1951 |
SPA
2 - 0
ANC
82%
12%
7%
|
49 | 74 | 25 | 0 |