Coppa Italia 1/16
Global 0-1
Brescia vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
19.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1994 |
BRE
0 - 0
INT
28%
26%
46%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1994 |
USF
3 - 1
BRE
59%
23%
19%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1994 |
BRE
1 - 1
JUV
24%
27%
49%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1994 |
REG
1 - 0
BRE
45%
25%
31%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1994 |
MOD
2 - 1
BRE
25%
28%
48%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1994 |
BAR
1 - 0
REG
39%
31%
30%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1994 |
REG
0 - 2
SAM
23%
29%
48%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1994 |
NAP
1 - 0
REG
67%
21%
12%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1994 |
REG
1 - 0
BRE
45%
25%
31%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1994 |
PRO
0 - 2
REG
6%
21%
74%
|
79 | 41 | 38 | 0 |