Brescia vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
18.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
13.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
17.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1975 |
PRG
1 - 0
BRE
64%
24%
12%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1975 |
PAL
1 - 0
BRE
64%
25%
11%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1975 |
BRE
0 - 0
FCC
50%
30%
21%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1975 |
SSS
2 - 0
BRE
46%
32%
22%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1975 |
BRE
0 - 1
TAR
61%
25%
13%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1975 |
REG
1 - 0
ARZ
54%
27%
19%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1975 |
COM
1 - 0
REG
65%
24%
11%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1975 |
REG
1 - 0
NOV
42%
30%
29%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1975 |
ATL
2 - 1
REG
60%
27%
13%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1975 |
REG
2 - 2
PES
36%
28%
36%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |