Brescia vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
17.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1972 |
TOR
0 - 0
BRE
75%
16%
9%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1972 |
BRE
3 - 1
CAT
59%
22%
19%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1972 |
VIC
3 - 0
BRE
70%
18%
12%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 1972 |
BRE
2 - 1
ASS
65%
24%
12%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1972 |
BRE
1 - 0
TER
50%
28%
22%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1972 |
REG
3 - 1
VIC
47%
24%
29%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1972 |
REG
2 - 1
TOR
26%
26%
48%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1972 |
CAT
0 - 1
REG
55%
25%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1972 |
REG
2 - 0
COM
49%
28%
23%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 1972 |
SOR
2 - 0
REG
36%
29%
35%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | -1 |