Brescia vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
20.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1959 |
MES
1 - 1
BRE
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1959 |
BRE
0 - 0
MOD
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1959 |
SSS
2 - 2
BRE
47%
26%
28%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1959 |
BRE
2 - 0
PAR
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 1958 |
VNZ
1 - 1
BRE
59%
22%
19%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1959 |
PAL
1 - 2
REG
64%
20%
16%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1959 |
REG
2 - 1
VER
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1959 |
REG
3 - 0
ASS
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +2 |
| 04 Jan. 1959 |
CAT
2 - 1
REG
57%
23%
19%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 1958 |
SSS
0 - 0
REG
52%
24%
25%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |