Brescia vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
27.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1949 |
VER
2 - 2
BRE
58%
20%
22%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
BRE
2 - 0
TAR
76%
14%
9%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1949 |
PRO
2 - 6
BRE
30%
26%
44%
|
69 | 38 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
BRE
1 - 1
USC
71%
17%
13%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
BRE
3 - 1
UNI
69%
17%
14%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1949 |
REG
4 - 0
PRO
88%
8%
4%
|
68 | 39 | 29 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
REG
2 - 2
NAP
63%
18%
19%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1949 |
TAR
1 - 3
REG
35%
23%
42%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
CAT
2 - 4
REG
46%
22%
32%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
REG
1 - 0
SPA
72%
15%
13%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |