Brescia vs Prato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
12.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1964 |
PAD
1 - 0
BRE
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
BRE
2 - 1
PAR
69%
20%
11%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
USF
1 - 1
BRE
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1964 |
BRE
3 - 0
VNZ
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1964 |
CAG
3 - 1
BRE
48%
28%
25%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1964 |
UDI
2 - 3
ACP
61%
23%
16%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
ACP
1 - 0
LEC
32%
31%
37%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
ACP
2 - 0
USA
41%
29%
30%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1964 |
PRO
2 - 1
ACP
61%
23%
16%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1964 |
ACP
0 - 2
VAR
35%
28%
38%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |