Brescia vs Prato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 1961 |
SSS
1 - 0
BRE
41%
29%
30%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
ASS
2 - 3
BRE
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1961 |
BRE
2 - 0
GEN
47%
25%
29%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
MOD
1 - 0
BRE
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
BRE
1 - 0
PAR
63%
22%
16%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 1961 |
ACP
0 - 0
PAR
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
ACP
2 - 0
SSS
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1961 |
COM
0 - 1
ACP
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
BAR
4 - 0
ACP
56%
25%
19%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
ACP
0 - 1
GEN
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |