Brescia vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
PAD
3 - 0
BRE
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
BRE
0 - 2
CAT
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
BRE
1 - 0
MES
57%
25%
19%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1954 |
PRO
2 - 0
BRE
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
BRE
2 - 0
VIC
56%
25%
20%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
PAV
0 - 1
ACM
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
ASS
1 - 0
PAV
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
PAV
1 - 1
VER
51%
23%
26%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1954 |
USA
2 - 1
PAV
65%
19%
16%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
PAV
3 - 2
MOD
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | +1 |