Serie B Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 2-4
Brescia vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
20.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2022 |
BRE
3 - 2
PRG
62%
21%
18%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2022 |
BRE
3 - 0
REG
71%
19%
10%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
CTT
1 - 0
BRE
35%
27%
38%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
BRE
1 - 1
SPA
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
ASS
1 - 1
BRE
41%
26%
32%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2022 |
PRG
1 - 0
ASS
34%
28%
38%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
ASS
3 - 0
BEN
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
FRO
4 - 1
ASS
40%
28%
32%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
ASS
1 - 1
BRE
41%
26%
32%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
NUO
0 - 2
ASS
17%
26%
57%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |