Brescia vs AC Marzotto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1956 |
UNI
0 - 0
BRE
70%
18%
12%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1956 |
BRE
0 - 2
ASS
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1956 |
BRE
2 - 1
SAL
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1956 |
PAL
1 - 0
BRE
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1956 |
BRE
1 - 1
MOD
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AC Marzotto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1956 |
MOD
1 - 1
ACM
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1956 |
ACM
0 - 0
COM
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1956 |
ASS
3 - 0
ACM
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1956 |
ACM
0 - 2
UDI
34%
24%
41%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1956 |
VER
4 - 1
ACM
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -2 |