Brescia vs AC Marzotto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
24%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
COM
1 - 0
BRE
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
CAG
1 - 1
BRE
66%
20%
14%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1954 |
BRE
0 - 0
PAL
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
BRE
2 - 1
MES
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
VIC
3 - 0
BRE
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
AC Marzotto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
UNI
1 - 0
ACM
64%
20%
16%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
ACM
1 - 0
COM
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1954 |
VIC
1 - 0
ACM
59%
23%
19%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
ACM
3 - 0
CAG
48%
24%
29%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
VER
2 - 4
ACM
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |