Brescia vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
16.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
LEC
1 - 2
BRE
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
CES
1 - 1
BRE
27%
26%
47%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
BRE
2 - 1
RAV
64%
22%
14%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2007 |
BOL
2 - 2
BRE
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
BRE
3 - 1
MES
47%
26%
26%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
MAN
0 - 0
GRO
51%
27%
22%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
MAN
3 - 2
MOD
43%
29%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
TRI
1 - 0
MAN
38%
29%
33%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2007 |
BAR
2 - 0
MAN
41%
29%
30%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
MAN
0 - 1
PIS
63%
25%
13%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |