Brescia vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
19%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.1%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
13.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
16%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1973 |
VAR
1 - 0
BRE
59%
27%
14%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1973 |
BRE
1 - 0
BAR
53%
29%
18%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1972 |
REG
1 - 0
BRE
41%
34%
25%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1972 |
BRE
1 - 0
PRG
53%
28%
19%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1972 |
ASC
2 - 0
BRE
62%
23%
16%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1973 |
MAN
1 - 1
CES
46%
32%
22%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1973 |
ARZ
2 - 1
MAN
47%
32%
21%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1972 |
MAN
0 - 1
USF
52%
29%
19%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 1972 |
LEC
2 - 0
MAN
37%
35%
28%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1972 |
MAN
0 - 0
REG
54%
29%
17%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |