Brescia vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
16%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
13.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1969 |
PRG
2 - 0
BRE
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1969 |
COM
1 - 0
BRE
36%
30%
33%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
BRE
3 - 0
MOD
72%
19%
8%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
LAZ
1 - 0
BRE
43%
29%
28%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1969 |
BRE
1 - 0
REG
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1969 |
MAN
1 - 2
MOD
55%
29%
16%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1969 |
MAN
1 - 0
LEC
53%
29%
18%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
REG
3 - 1
MAN
50%
30%
21%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
FCC
1 - 0
MAN
38%
32%
29%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1969 |
MAN
1 - 0
ASS
46%
29%
25%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |