Brescia vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
24.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 1964 |
LEC
1 - 0
BRE
51%
27%
23%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1964 |
BRE
1 - 1
NAP
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1964 |
PRO
1 - 1
BRE
41%
30%
29%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1964 |
BRE
4 - 0
USA
66%
21%
13%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1964 |
UDI
1 - 0
BRE
45%
29%
26%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1964 |
MAN
0 - 0
VIC
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1964 |
MAN
1 - 0
ROM
30%
27%
43%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 May. 1964 |
CAT
0 - 0
MAN
48%
27%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1964 |
MAN
0 - 0
BOL
28%
27%
45%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
MES
1 - 0
MAN
46%
27%
28%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |