Brescia vs AC Legnano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
26.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1951 |
USC
1 - 1
BRE
47%
24%
29%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1951 |
ANC
1 - 1
BRE
38%
23%
39%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1951 |
BRE
2 - 0
SER
75%
15%
10%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1951 |
BAR
3 - 5
BRE
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1951 |
BRE
2 - 0
MOD
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
AC Legnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1951 |
PIS
1 - 2
UNI
47%
23%
30%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1951 |
UNI
5 - 0
ANC
80%
12%
8%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1951 |
UNI
5 - 1
FAN
75%
15%
11%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1951 |
VER
1 - 2
UNI
55%
21%
24%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1951 |
UNI
5 - 0
CAT
72%
16%
13%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |