Brescia vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
25.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
TER
1 - 0
BRE
33%
28%
39%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
BRE
2 - 2
CTT
56%
25%
20%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2013 |
LEO
2 - 3
BRE
19%
27%
55%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
BRE
1 - 1
BAR
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
BRE
1 - 1
NOV
39%
28%
33%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
CES
2 - 0
PAD
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
GRO
1 - 2
CES
42%
26%
33%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2013 |
CES
0 - 0
LIV
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2013 |
REG
1 - 2
CES
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2013 |
CRO
1 - 0
CES
49%
25%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |