Brescia vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
29.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
PAL
2 - 1
BRE
57%
25%
18%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
VER
1 - 2
BRE
71%
19%
11%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1978 |
BRE
0 - 1
TOR
18%
28%
55%
|
57 | 86 | 29 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 1978 |
BRE
0 - 0
BAR
57%
27%
17%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1978 |
TER
2 - 0
BRE
51%
28%
21%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
CES
2 - 0
VER
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1978 |
CES
1 - 2
PAL
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1978 |
TOR
3 - 1
CES
85%
10%
5%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1978 |
CES
2 - 0
PAL
53%
28%
20%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 1978 |
COM
1 - 1
CES
41%
31%
29%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |