Brescia vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
29.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1977 |
SSS
0 - 1
BRE
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1977 |
BRE
0 - 2
JUV
11%
20%
70%
|
56 | 89 | 33 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1977 |
VER
1 - 0
BRE
81%
13%
7%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 1977 |
BRE
4 - 1
CAT
63%
25%
12%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 1977 |
VAR
2 - 0
BRE
59%
26%
15%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1977 |
CES
3 - 1
SSS
70%
19%
12%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1977 |
JUV
0 - 0
CES
82%
13%
5%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1977 |
CES
2 - 0
VER
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1977 |
CES
0 - 2
ACM
29%
29%
42%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1977 |
LAZ
3 - 0
CES
65%
22%
13%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |