Brescia vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
18.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
13.7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
BRE
3 - 2
REG
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1972 |
TOR
0 - 0
BRE
75%
16%
9%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1972 |
BRE
3 - 1
CAT
59%
22%
19%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1972 |
VIC
3 - 0
BRE
70%
18%
12%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 1972 |
BRE
2 - 1
ASS
65%
24%
12%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1972 |
BOL
1 - 0
CES
80%
13%
7%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1972 |
CES
7 - 0
ASS
62%
21%
17%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1972 |
CES
1 - 1
FIO
26%
27%
47%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1972 |
BAR
0 - 1
CES
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 1972 |
CES
2 - 0
ARZ
55%
27%
18%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |