Brescia vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
13.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
LEC
0 - 1
BRE
33%
31%
37%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
BRE
3 - 2
USF
60%
25%
16%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
BRE
1 - 1
REG
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1969 |
PAD
0 - 0
BRE
30%
31%
39%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
BRE
1 - 1
GEN
65%
22%
13%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
CES
2 - 1
COM
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
FCC
0 - 0
CES
44%
28%
29%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
CAT
1 - 0
CES
46%
27%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1969 |
CES
0 - 0
REG
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
REG
2 - 0
CES
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |