Brescia Sub 19 vs Varese Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
28.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
VIR
1 - 3
BRE
13%
19%
68%
|
32 | 11 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
CIT
1 - 5
BRE
19%
23%
58%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
CAG
2 - 3
BRE
37%
26%
38%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
BRE
1 - 1
VER
60%
21%
19%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
BRE
1 - 0
UDI
57%
23%
21%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Varese Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2013 |
VAR
1 - 2
MIL
32%
25%
43%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
VAR
3 - 0
CAR
67%
19%
14%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
TER
2 - 2
VAR
12%
21%
67%
|
36 | 9 | 27 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
PAD
1 - 0
VAR
30%
26%
44%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
VAR
2 - 1
CIT
76%
15%
9%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | -1 |