Brescia Sub 19 vs Cittadella Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
13.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
2º
13º
9º
26
7º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
REG
1 - 0
BRE
23%
20%
56%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
VIC
0 - 3
BRE
50%
22%
29%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
BRE
0 - 2
PAR
22%
21%
58%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SPA
4 - 1
BRE
49%
23%
28%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BRE
3 - 0
REN
85%
10%
5%
|
25 | 11 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Cittadella Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CIT
2 - 0
USA
24%
21%
55%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
REN
2 - 2
CIT
26%
21%
53%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
CIT
0 - 2
COM
18%
19%
63%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CIT
1 - 4
CRE
11%
18%
71%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SUD
2 - 2
CIT
33%
22%
46%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |