Brescello vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
32.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
ACL
0 - 1
BRE
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
COM
1 - 1
BRE
56%
24%
20%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
BRE
0 - 2
VAR
39%
27%
35%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2000 |
BRE
2 - 3
LEC
50%
25%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1999 |
CAR
3 - 1
BRE
39%
26%
36%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
CTT
0 - 1
MOD
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
MOD
1 - 1
COM
48%
28%
24%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
VAR
3 - 0
MOD
50%
27%
23%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
MOD
1 - 0
MON
68%
21%
12%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2000 |
MOD
0 - 3
CAR
61%
23%
16%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -2 |