Brescello vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
44.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
BRE
1 - 1
MOD
40%
27%
33%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
ACL
0 - 1
BRE
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
COM
1 - 1
BRE
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
BRE
0 - 2
VAR
39%
27%
35%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2000 |
BRE
2 - 3
LEC
50%
25%
26%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
ASL
1 - 0
CTT
54%
25%
22%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
VAR
0 - 0
ASL
40%
28%
32%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
ASL
0 - 0
ACL
71%
19%
10%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
MON
2 - 1
ASL
18%
24%
58%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
ASL
1 - 1
SIE
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |