Coppa Italia 1/32
Global 5-2
Brescello vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
53.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 1997 |
COS
1 - 1
ASL
51%
26%
24%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1997 |
ASL
4 - 2
USC
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 May. 1997 |
TOR
2 - 2
ASL
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1997 |
ASL
2 - 0
CES
53%
26%
21%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1997 |
BAR
0 - 0
ASL
71%
18%
11%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |