Brescello vs Carrarese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
ABN
1 - 2
BRE
47%
26%
27%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
BRE
3 - 1
SAN
64%
21%
14%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
MON
1 - 1
BRE
32%
27%
42%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
BRE
0 - 0
SPA
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
LIV
0 - 1
BRE
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
CAR
1 - 1
COM
38%
28%
34%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
CAR
1 - 2
CTT
37%
27%
36%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
CAR
1 - 1
MON
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
VAR
2 - 0
CAR
61%
23%
16%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
CAR
0 - 0
PIS
30%
29%
41%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |