Brescello vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
33.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2001 |
ASL
2 - 2
BRE
52%
26%
22%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2001 |
BRE
0 - 0
VAR
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2000 |
MOD
1 - 0
BRE
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
BRE
3 - 3
SPA
51%
26%
23%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
ACL
0 - 0
BRE
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2001 |
SPE
1 - 0
ACL
64%
20%
16%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2001 |
SPE
1 - 1
SPA
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2000 |
COM
1 - 0
SPE
43%
28%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2000 |
SPE
2 - 0
ASL
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
ARZ
0 - 2
SPE
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |