Brentford vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
26%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
STO
1 - 1
BRE
55%
23%
21%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
AFC
3 - 0
BRE
46%
26%
29%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -2 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
BOU
1 - 0
BRE
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
BRE
1 - 3
GRI
53%
24%
23%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
WYC
1 - 2
BRE
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
SWI
2 - 3
PLY
37%
26%
37%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
HAR
2 - 0
SWI
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
SWI
1 - 1
QPR
36%
27%
38%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
OLD
0 - 1
SWI
59%
22%
18%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
WYC
4 - 1
SWI
50%
24%
26%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -2 |