Brentford vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
15.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
COL
0 - 1
BRE
33%
26%
41%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
BRE
0 - 0
OLD
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2002 |
BRE
1 - 0
BRI
56%
24%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
HUR
0 - 2
BRE
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
BRE
1 - 1
REA
45%
26%
30%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
SWI
0 - 1
CAR
35%
26%
40%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
BPO
0 - 0
SWI
58%
22%
19%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2002 |
CHE
2 - 4
SWI
44%
28%
28%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
SWI
3 - 1
BAR
36%
25%
38%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
SWI
1 - 1
WYC
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |