Brentford vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
23.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1946 |
BRE
2 - 1
BPO
55%
22%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1946 |
WOL
1 - 2
BRE
76%
14%
10%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1946 |
BRE
2 - 0
HUR
57%
21%
23%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1946 |
BPO
4 - 2
BRE
57%
22%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1946 |
EVE
0 - 2
BRE
76%
14%
11%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1946 |
SUN
3 - 2
BPO
55%
22%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1946 |
CHA
5 - 0
SUN
63%
19%
18%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1946 |
ARS
2 - 2
SUN
62%
20%
18%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1946 |
SUN
3 - 0
HUR
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1946 |
SUN
3 - 2
DER
50%
22%
28%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |