Brentford vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
14.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1938 |
ARS
0 - 2
BRE
66%
18%
16%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1938 |
WBA
4 - 3
BRE
56%
22%
23%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1938 |
BRE
6 - 1
GRI
62%
19%
19%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1938 |
MID
0 - 1
BRE
65%
18%
17%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1938 |
BRE
1 - 3
LIV
64%
18%
18%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1938 |
STO
1 - 1
EVE
55%
21%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1938 |
SUN
1 - 1
STO
68%
18%
14%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1938 |
STO
3 - 2
BOL
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1938 |
WOL
2 - 2
STO
75%
14%
11%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1938 |
STO
1 - 3
BPO
62%
20%
19%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |