Brentford vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
17.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1936 |
CHL
2 - 1
BRE
54%
21%
25%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1936 |
BRE
4 - 0
OPA
62%
19%
19%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1936 |
BRE
2 - 1
WBA
57%
20%
23%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1936 |
MID
3 - 0
BRE
59%
20%
22%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1936 |
BRE
2 - 1
BIR
65%
19%
17%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1936 |
STO
2 - 2
BOL
55%
22%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1936 |
EVE
1 - 1
STO
70%
16%
14%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1936 |
STO
1 - 1
HUR
47%
23%
30%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1936 |
SUN
3 - 0
STO
77%
13%
10%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1936 |
STO
2 - 1
WOL
53%
22%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |