FA Cup 1/32
Global 4-3
Brentford vs Southend United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
OLD
0 - 2
BRE
28%
28%
45%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
SOU
2 - 2
BRE
37%
27%
37%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
BRE
0 - 0
BOU
48%
25%
26%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
STF
0 - 0
BRE
27%
28%
45%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
COL
1 - 3
BRE
26%
27%
47%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Southend United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
EXE
3 - 0
SOU
31%
26%
43%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2013 |
OXF
3 - 3
SOU
32%
25%
43%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
SOU
2 - 2
BRE
37%
27%
37%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
SOU
0 - 1
GIL
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
BUR
2 - 0
SOU
30%
26%
44%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |