Brentford vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
38.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
DON
3 - 0
BRE
71%
20%
9%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
BRE
2 - 4
NTT
24%
27%
49%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
CRE
3 - 1
BRE
75%
16%
9%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
BRE
0 - 2
CHE
42%
28%
31%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -2 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
GIL
2 - 1
BRE
49%
27%
25%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
GIL
3 - 2
POR
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
POR
3 - 0
CRE
40%
25%
34%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
SWA
3 - 0
POR
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
POR
0 - 2
CUM
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
HUR
2 - 2
POR
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |