Brentford vs Plymouth Argyle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.3%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
12%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
12%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12%
5.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
SOU
0 - 5
BRE
30%
25%
45%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2025 |
BRE
1 - 3
ARS
20%
22%
58%
|
89 | 97 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2024 |
BHA
0 - 0
BRE
51%
24%
26%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
BRE
0 - 2
NTT
58%
22%
20%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2024 |
NEW
3 - 1
BRE
56%
23%
21%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
STO
0 - 0
PLY
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2025 |
PLY
2 - 2
BRI
34%
26%
40%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
OXF
2 - 0
PLY
48%
25%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
COV
4 - 0
PLY
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
PLY
3 - 3
MID
25%
23%
52%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |