Brentford vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
35.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
BRE
1 - 0
BRO
60%
23%
18%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2011 |
BRE
2 - 1
TRA
51%
26%
23%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
MKD
1 - 1
BRE
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2011 |
EXE
1 - 2
BRE
49%
24%
26%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
BRE
2 - 0
PLY
56%
25%
20%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2011 |
NOT
1 - 0
CHA
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
MAC
5 - 0
NOT
76%
16%
8%
|
65 | 89 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2011 |
NOT
2 - 0
COL
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
NOT
0 - 2
EXE
62%
22%
15%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -2 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
NOT
1 - 1
WAL
70%
20%
10%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |