Brentford vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
16.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
LIN
2 - 2
BRE
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2008 |
EXE
0 - 2
BRE
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2008 |
BRE
2 - 0
BOU
42%
26%
33%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
GIL
1 - 1
BRE
48%
27%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
BRE
2 - 1
BRA
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
NOT
2 - 1
EXE
22%
26%
53%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2008 |
NOT
0 - 3
ROT
27%
29%
44%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2008 |
GRI
0 - 1
NOT
48%
26%
27%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
NOT
0 - 1
LIN
34%
28%
38%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
CHE
2 - 0
NOT
35%
28%
38%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |