Brentford vs Northampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
19.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
PLY
3 - 0
BRE
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2003 |
POR
1 - 0
BRE
39%
27%
34%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
BRE
1 - 2
STO
56%
24%
21%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2003 |
BRE
1 - 1
COL
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
WYC
4 - 0
BRE
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
NOR
0 - 2
OLD
28%
27%
45%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2003 |
NOR
2 - 0
NOT
35%
27%
39%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
CHE
1 - 1
NOR
57%
24%
19%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
NOR
1 - 0
SWI
34%
28%
37%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2003 |
COL
2 - 0
NOR
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |