Brentford vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
37.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
BRE
3 - 1
REA
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
WAT
1 - 1
BRE
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
NTT
1 - 3
BRE
19%
25%
57%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
BRE
0 - 0
DER
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
BRE
2 - 2
BBU
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
NEW
1 - 1
FUL
56%
25%
20%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
LEE
5 - 2
NEW
36%
26%
38%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
NEW
2 - 1
WBA
56%
25%
20%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
CRY
0 - 2
NEW
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
NEW
0 - 2
CHL
13%
19%
69%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |