Brentford vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.7%
21.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1937 |
BIR
4 - 0
BRE
51%
22%
27%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1937 |
BRE
4 - 1
LEE
66%
18%
17%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1937 |
BRE
2 - 3
GRI
65%
18%
17%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1937 |
LIV
2 - 2
BRE
52%
22%
26%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1937 |
MUD
1 - 3
BRE
41%
25%
34%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1937 |
MID
2 - 0
BOL
70%
17%
13%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1937 |
EVE
2 - 3
MID
66%
16%
17%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1937 |
MID
5 - 0
HUR
58%
20%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 1937 |
SUN
4 - 1
MID
70%
15%
15%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1937 |
LIV
0 - 2
MID
54%
21%
26%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |